Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

South Carolina Senate Election Winner

Darline Graham Nordone (R) 86% Yes No
Annie Andrews (D) 16% Yes No
$798K Vol.
Polymarket

Oklahoma enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 24% Yes No
December 31, 2027 22% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$773K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$769K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 12% Yes No
Italy 9% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$763K Vol.
Polymarket World

Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by...?

December 31, 2027 22% Yes No
December 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$743K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
November 30, 2026 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$742K Vol.
Polymarket

Missouri enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
June 30, 2027 14% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$723K Vol.
Polymarket

Wisconsin Governor Election Winner

David Crowley (D) 80% Yes No
Tom Tiffany (R) 20% Yes No
$719K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 24% Yes No
December 31, 2027 16% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$717K Vol.
Polymarket

Louisiana enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 20% Yes No
December 31, 2027 12% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$693K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

China 100% Yes No
France 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$681K Vol.
Polymarket

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

No 1%
Yes 99%
$666K Vol.
Polymarket

Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement before the midterms?

No Hormuz Agreement 94% Yes No
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$656K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$642K Vol.
Polymarket World

Houthis enter Aden by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
November 30 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$642K Vol.
Polymarket

Nebraska Senate Election Winner

Pete Ricketts (R) 72% Yes No
Independent 28% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$624K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$613K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 18% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
$607K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No
CATL 21% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$606K Vol.
Polymarket

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$576K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R) 77% Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D) 22% Yes No
$574K Vol.
Polymarket

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$563K Vol.
Polymarket