Israel closes its airspace by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? F1 Drivers' Champion When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Trump out as President before 2027? How many Fed rate cuts in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Which party will win the Senate in 2026? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? MLB: 2026 National League Champion Fed rate hike in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 20% Yes No

Jon Ossoff 16% Yes No

+49 more outcomes

$1268.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 25% Yes No

Jon Ossoff 11% Yes No

+50 more outcomes

$696.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 52% Yes No

Marco Rubio 18% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$693.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 56% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 39% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$141.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 33% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 26% Yes No

+39 more outcomes

$124.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 48% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$66.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 95% Yes No

Steve Hilton 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 83% Yes No

No Head of State 5% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$39.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 51% Yes No

Benjamin Netanyahu 29% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$34.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Israel closes its airspace by...?

September 30 6% Yes No

May 8 0% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$27.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 26% Yes No

December 31 16% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$24.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

United Russia (ER) 71% Yes No

New People (NL) 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$24.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

December 31 64% Yes No

October 31 40% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$24.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026

Yulia Navalnaya 8% Yes No

Volodymyr Zelenskyy 4% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$23.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 16% Yes No

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$22.3M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

October 31 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Karen Bass 64% Yes No

Nithya Raman 35% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$13.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

October 31 10% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$12.0M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

Trump out as President before 2027?