Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 16% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 15% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$1294.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20% Yes No
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Yes No

+52 more outcomes

$717.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 46% Yes No
Marco Rubio 13% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$713.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 48% Yes No
Édouard Philippe 20% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$153.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$74.1M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 46% Yes No
Benjamin Netanyahu 30% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$48.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$44.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 96% Yes No
Steve Hilton 4% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$42.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31 59% Yes No
December 31 35% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$41.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 87% Yes No
No Head of State 4% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$29.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 25% Yes No
December 31 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$27.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$27.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Democrats Sweep 62% Yes No
R Senate, D House 28% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$24.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which party will win the House in 2026?

Democratic Party 90% Yes No
Republican Party 10% Yes No
$18.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$18.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
November 30 12% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$17.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$16.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Los Angeles Mayoral Election

Nithya Raman 53% Yes No
Karen Bass 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$12.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket World