Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Who visited Epstein's Island?

Richard Branson 100% Yes No
Steven Tisch 4% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

No 14%
Yes 86%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Strikes)

2.0T+ 100% Yes No
<1.0T 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

June 30 12% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Trump dance on...?

May 31 6% Yes No
May 30 1% Yes No
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Democratic 58% Yes No
Republican 40% Yes No
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by December 31, 2026 48% Yes No
1T–1.25T 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Richest person on December 31, 2026?

Elon Musk 94% Yes No
Warren Buffett 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

2nd largest company end of May?

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Bitcoin above ___ on May 31?

66,000 100% Yes No
74,000 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

December 31 55% Yes No
June 30 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)

Anthropic 88% Yes No
Google 6% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket

Florida Governor Republican Primary Winner

Byron Donalds 94% Yes No
James Fishback 4% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

2026 Busan Mayoral Election Winner

Chun Jae-soo 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+63 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO by June 30, 2026 99% Yes No
600B+ 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by June 30?

Anthropic 100% Yes No
OpenAI 4% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

Avengers: Doomsday 72% Yes No
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 16% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What price will Bitcoin hit June 1-7?

↓ 60,000 100% Yes No
↓ 62,000 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

LPL 2026 Season Winner

Bilibili Gaming 58% Yes No
Top Esports 11% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket