Open Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

Top outcomes

No IPO by June 30, 2026 99%
600B+ 0%
400–600B 0%
<100B 0%

This market will resolve based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

$1.6M Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026

Live Polymarket Chart

Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

Open on Polymarket ↗

The chart is view-only. Use Open on Polymarket above to visit the market — no trading on this platform.

$1.6m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.6M Vol.

No IPO by June 30, 2026

99% market probability

99%
Yes 99% +1 / −99 No 1% +99 / −1

600B+

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

400–600B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

<100B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

100–200B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

200–300B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

300–400B

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
Log in to place your forecast on this event.

Public forecast history

All forecasts on this market — scored on Reputation when resolved. Earn Popularity when others like your forecast or comments.

No forecasts yet. Be the first to place one.