Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Epstein client list released by...? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Fed Decision in September? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Epstein client list released by...? What price will Ethereum hit in July? Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...? Fed Decision in September? Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis)
Open Crypto Polymarket

Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 4%
July 31 0%
June 30 0%
April 30 0%

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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$2.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$2.0m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.0M Vol.

December 31

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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June 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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April 30

0% market probability

0%

Explain your Yes on April 30 Explain your No on April 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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