Satoshi's identity be proven by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 4%

June 30 0%

April 30 0%

This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, the pseudonymous creator or creators of Bitcoin, is definitively proven between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The resolution source for this market will be definitive evidence confirming the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto, such as a transfer from one of the original Satoshi wallets. However, a credible consensus of reporting will also be used.

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$1.9M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$1.9m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$1.9M Vol.

December 31

4% market probability

Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

June 30

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

April 30

0% market probability

Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100

Public forecast history

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