Science & Tech
AI, space, breakthroughs, and innovation
75 open forecasts
Events in Science & Tech
Sorted by date
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
16-19
48%
Yes
No
12-15
29%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$66K Vol.
Polymarket
How many large volcano eruptions (VEI ≥4) in 2026?
0
52%
Yes
No
1
36%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$1.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
54%
Yes
No
5-6
44%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$507K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?
No
87%
Yes
13%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?
↑1k
100%
Yes
No
↑2k
100%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Natural Disaster in 2026?
No
77%
Yes
23%
$243K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
New Coronavirus Pandemic in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$23K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
New pandemic in 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Next Claude Opus released by...?
December 31
99%
Yes
No
October 31
96%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$61K Vol.
Polymarket
Screwworm National Emergency declared by...?
December 31
50%
Yes
No
October 31
48%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$2K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
US Government removes public access to a major Chinese AI model in 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$39K Vol.
Polymarket
Vesuvius eruption with 1+ VEI in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$660 Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Anthropic
72%
Yes
No
OpenAI
10%
Yes
No
+13 more outcomes
$864K Vol.
Polymarket
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
#5
100%
Yes
No
#10
100%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$213K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
1560
32%
Yes
No
1580
21%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$192K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
1525
100%
Yes
No
1550
100%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$116K Vol.
Polymarket
Will any Category 4 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
84%
Yes
16%
$341K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$140K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
No
5%
Yes
95%
$414K Vol.
Polymarket
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
December 31, 2026
30%
Yes
No
October 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$357K Vol.
Polymarket
Highest earthquake magnitude in 2026?
7.9 or below
74%
Yes
No
8.0 – 8.1
12%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$3K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many Tornadoes in the US in 2026?
1250+
89%
Yes
No
1200–1249
5%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$82K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
20 to 34
48%
Yes
No
Fewer than 20
34%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$7K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Showing 49–72 of 75