Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 9% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$416K Vol.
Polymarket

Tush Push banned for 2026 NFL Season?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$415K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner

Yordan Alvarez 71% Yes No
Nick Kurtz 10% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$414K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by...?

July 31 7% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$407K Vol.
Polymarket

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 9% Yes No
July 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$406K Vol.
Polymarket

XRP all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$400K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

2nd Largest Company end of July?

Apple 90% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+27 more outcomes

$399K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

July 1 100% Yes No
July 2 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$393K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$391K Vol.
Polymarket

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

December 31 100% Yes No
August 7 42% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$389K Vol.
Polymarket

NHL: 2027 Champion

Other 50% Yes No
Team A 50% Yes No

+36 more outcomes

$381K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

South Carolina Republican Senate Special Primary Winner

Darline Graham Nordone 70% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+48 more outcomes

$380K Vol.
Polymarket

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Dilution of Iran's Uranium 30% Yes No
≤5% Uranium Enrichment Cap (1+ Year) 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$379K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Variational launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 48% Yes No
September 30, 2026 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$379K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

Anthropic 64% Yes No
Google 11% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$378K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Daniel Penny 34% Yes No
Donald Brodie 34% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$376K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$369K Vol.
Polymarket

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$368K Vol.
Polymarket

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 50% Yes No
Axel Kicillof 46% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$365K Vol.
Polymarket

Will GTA 6 cost $100+?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$364K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Worlds 2026 Winning Region

LCK (South Korea) 66% Yes No
LPL (China) 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$360K Vol.
Polymarket Esports

Which company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of July?

Anthropic 95% Yes No
Google 3% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$358K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

India 20% Yes No
South Korea 20% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$358K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 72% Yes No
June 30, 2027 65% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$354K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto