Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Israel Election: Likud # of seats?
20-24
42%
Yes
No
<20
25%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$552K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
71%
Yes
29%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
800k+
100%
Yes
No
1M+
4%
Yes
No
$548K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?
December 31
98%
Yes
No
October 31
82%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$545K Vol.
Polymarket
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$537K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
June 30, 2027
52%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
52%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$536K Vol.
Polymarket
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$535K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+
66%
Yes
No
1.5–1.8T
22%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$529K Vol.
Polymarket
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
95%
Yes
No
No IPO by December 31, 2027
3%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$526K Vol.
Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
60%
Yes
No
5-6
34%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$523K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald Brodie
25%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
17%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$519K Vol.
Polymarket
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$40M
23%
Yes
No
$70M
22%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$518K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
October 31
3%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$510K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$507K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
20%
Yes
No
Mahmoud Khalil
18%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$504K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
48%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
13%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$502K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 16?
↓ 81,000
100%
Yes
No
↓ 82,000
100%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$492K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+
45%
Yes
No
No IPO by December 31, 2027
25%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$489K Vol.
Polymarket
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
Harry Kane
98%
Yes
No
Lamine Yamal
96%
Yes
No
+29 more outcomes
$489K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?
December 31, 2026
4%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$486K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 337–360