Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? US military action against Cuba by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? 2026 Women's Wimbledon Winner Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Fed Decision in June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Trump out as President by June 30? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Colombia Presidential Election Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? 2026 NBA Champion

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

World Cup Winner

+48 more outcomes

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

+46 more outcomes

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Gavin Newsom 24% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 9% Yes No

+43 more outcomes

$1191.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 34% Yes No

Marco Rubio 23% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$654.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

Marco Rubio 16% Yes No

JD Vance 15% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$623.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

2026 NBA Champion

New York Knicks 62% Yes No

San Antonio Spurs 38% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$418.4M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by ___ ?

June 30, 2026 100% Yes No

December 31, 2026 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$385.2M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

UEFA Champions League Winner

$281.0M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

December 31 66% Yes No

October 31 58% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$278.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 70% Yes No

George Russell 14% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$170.3M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 50% Yes No

June 30 2% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$122.0M Vol.

Polymarket World

Brazil Presidential Election

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 42% Yes No

Flávio Bolsonaro 29% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$97.4M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Next French Presidential Election

Jordan Bardella 30% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 18% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$95.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Peru Presidential Election Winner

Forecasts closed

Keiko Fujimori 94% Yes No

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 5% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$92.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Venezuela leader end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro 74% Yes No

Delcy Rodríguez 14% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$90.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion

Carolina Hurricanes 56% Yes No

Vegas Golden Knights 43% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$82.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Fed Decision in June?

No change 99% Yes No

25 bps increase 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$77.1M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran closes its airspace by...?

+13 more outcomes

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 98%

Yes 2%

$63.6M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

+3 more outcomes

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

Oh Se-hoon 100% Yes No

Cho Kuk 0% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$51.7M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 14% Yes No

September 30 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$50.8M Vol.

Polymarket Science & Tech

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?

+26 more outcomes