Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Iran leadership change by...? Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...? What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Largest Company end of December 2026? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? F1 Constructors' Champion Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? US military action against Cuba by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Anthropic IPO by __? Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...? Next French Presidential Election Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17% Yes No

Gavin Newsom 15% Yes No

+51 more outcomes

$1294.5M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 21% Yes No

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13% Yes No

+52 more outcomes

$716.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

J.D. Vance 48% Yes No

Marco Rubio 14% Yes No

+41 more outcomes

$711.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

F1 Drivers' Champion

Kimi Antonelli 98% Yes No

Max Verstappen 1% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$204.4M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Next French Presidential Election

Marine Le Pen 46% Yes No

Édouard Philippe 20% Yes No

+40 more outcomes

$151.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Netanyahu out by...?

December 31 40% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$124.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$76.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?

+34 more outcomes

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...?

December 31 4% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$73.6M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Pro Football: 2027 Champion

San Francisco 49ers 13% Yes No

Buffalo Bills 12% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$67.5M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?

No 99%

Yes 1%

$66.5M Vol.

Polymarket Pop Culture

How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?

+11 more outcomes

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion

+40 more outcomes

Ballon d'Or Winner 2026

Harry Kane 64% Yes No

Lamine Yamal 28% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$51.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?

Gadi Eizenkot 47% Yes No

Benjamin Netanyahu 30% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$46.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

MLB World Series Champion 2026

Milwaukee Brewers 64% Yes No

Cleveland Guardians 20% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$45.1M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Fed Decision in October?

No change 86% Yes No

25 bps increase 14% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$43.5M Vol.

Polymarket Economy

NFL Champion 2027

Los Angeles Rams 16% Yes No

Buffalo Bills 8% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$42.2M Vol.

Polymarket Sports

California Governor Election Winner

Xavier Becerra 96% Yes No

Steve Hilton 4% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$41.9M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31 58% Yes No

December 31 35% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$40.8M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Iran leader end of 2026?

Mojtaba Khamenei 87% Yes No

No Head of State 5% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$40.2M Vol.

Polymarket Politics

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?