World

Geopolitics, conflicts, and global events

104 open forecasts

Events in World

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Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$66K Vol.
Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 57% Yes No
9 33% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
November 30 22% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$451K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$479K Vol.
Polymarket

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$76.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$7.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31 70% Yes No
November 30 50% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$607K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
October 31 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$302K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$169K Vol.
Polymarket

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

December 31 18% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$95K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 12% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$20.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
November 30 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$77K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China Military clash before 2027?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$219K Vol.
Polymarket

Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?

Audias Flores-Silva 100% Yes No
Ricardo Ruiz Velasco 21% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 100% Yes No
Druzkhivka 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World