World

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?

190-209 42% Yes No

170-189 33% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$25K Vol.

Polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

20-39 78% Yes No

<20 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$16K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthis target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 15 56% Yes No

August 31 20% Yes No

$27K Vol.

Polymarket

Moscow air traffic suspended by...?

September 15 36% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$24K Vol.

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0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 100% Yes No

September 30 16% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$780K Vol.

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Will Iran target Oman by...?

September 30 21% Yes No

September 15 15% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$31K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

September 30 92% Yes No

August 31 90% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.

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Houthi military action against Israel by...?

September 30 7% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$182K Vol.

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Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

September 30 11% Yes No

August 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$169K Vol.

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Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

September 30 15% Yes No

August 31 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$456K Vol.

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Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

September 30 40% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$102K Vol.

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Israel military action against Beirut by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

August 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$339K Vol.

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Israel military action against Syria by...?

September 30 20% Yes No

September 15 11% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$36K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

September 30 8% Yes No

August 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$191K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

September 30 66% Yes No

September 15 58% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$41K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

September 30 29% Yes No

September 15 26% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$109K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 36% Yes No

September 15 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$496K Vol.

Polymarket

Number of North Korea Missile Tests in September 2026?

1 42% Yes No

<1 22% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$19K Vol.

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US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

No 95%

Yes 5%

$185K Vol.

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Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$94K Vol.

Polymarket

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

$134K Vol.

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Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$185K Vol.

Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 3% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.

Polymarket