World

Iran successfully targets shipping on...?

July 7 100% Yes No

June 27 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$979K Vol.

Polymarket World

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

July 31 8% Yes No

June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$164K Vol.

Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

July 31 5% Yes No

June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$305K Vol.

Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

July 31 3% Yes No

June 7 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$71K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31 6% Yes No

July 31 1% Yes No

$77K Vol.

Polymarket

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

July 31 2% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$9.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 24% Yes No

July 14 7% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$279K Vol.

Polymarket

Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of July?

0-20 64% Yes No

20-40 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$134K Vol.

Polymarket

Iran military action against a gulf state on...?

July 13 73% Yes No

July 9 72% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$526K Vol.

Polymarket

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31?

United States 37% Yes No

France 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$294K Vol.

Polymarket

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31?

40+ 100% Yes No

30+ 93% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$909K Vol.

Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

August 31 76% Yes No

July 31 46% Yes No

$122K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by...?

September 30 67% Yes No

July 31 24% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$165K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Huliaipilske by...?

September 30 35% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$110K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia capture Stavky by...?

September 30 22% Yes No

July 31 2% Yes No

$94K Vol.

Polymarket

Will Russia enter Svitle by...?

September 30 35% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$170K Vol.

Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 30% Yes No

September 30 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$9.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$887K Vol.

Polymarket World

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 90%

Yes 10%

$1.4M Vol.

Polymarket World

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 94%

Yes 6%

$2.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 87%

Yes 13%

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

$292K Vol.

Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 35% Yes No

11 20% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket World