Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Brazil Presidential Election Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Iran leadership change by...? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms NBA: 2027 Champion US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? MLB World Series Champion 2026 Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Middle East

Forecasts in Middle East · World

53 open forecasts of 103 in World

← All categories
Reputation leaders Popularity leaders

Filter by topic

All 103 Conflicts 103 Middle East 53 Ukraine 16 China 5

Events in Middle East

Sorted by date

Advanced filters →
Source All Polymarket

How many ships transit Bab el-Mandeb Strait week of August 31?

190-209 42% Yes No
170-189 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$25K Vol.
Polymarket

How many ships transit the Strait of Hormuz week of August 31?

20-39 76% Yes No
<20 12% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthis target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 15 56% Yes No
August 31 8% Yes No
$27K Vol.
Polymarket

0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by..?

July 31 100% Yes No
September 30 16% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$780K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Oman by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
September 15 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$31K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by...?

September 30 92% Yes No
August 31 88% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$73K Vol.
Polymarket

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

September 30 7% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$182K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Choukine by...?

September 30 11% Yes No
August 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$169K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

September 30 15% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$456K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Tyre by...?

September 30 43% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$102K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Beirut by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$339K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Syria by...?

September 30 20% Yes No
September 15 14% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$37K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
August 31 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$191K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Bahrain by...?

September 30 66% Yes No
September 15 53% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$41K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Qatar by...?

September 30 32% Yes No
September 15 26% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$109K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 26% Yes No
September 15 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$56K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Iran target Ukraine by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$496K Vol.
Polymarket

US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$185K Vol.
Polymarket

Abu Musa Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$94K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$134K Vol.
Polymarket

Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$185K Vol.
Polymarket

Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 3% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$55K Vol.
Polymarket

Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 2% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

September 30 1% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$71K Vol.
Polymarket