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Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 74%
November 30 52%
October 31 17%
August 31 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Russia and Ukraine by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Russia-Ukraine relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of Russia and Ukraine, and a consensus of credible reporting.

$589K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$589.1k Vol.

All outcomes

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$589K Vol.

December 31

74% market probability

74%

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0 / 2,000

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November 30

52% market probability

52%

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0 / 2,000

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October 31

17% market probability

17%

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0 / 2,000

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August 31

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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October 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 15

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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September 30

0% market probability

0%

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0 / 2,000

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