U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government formally recognizes Russian sovereignty over the majority of the Crimean peninsula by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Donald Trump's March 25, 2019, recognition of Israel's sovereignty over the Golan Heights is an example of a qualifying action. Statement of intents, or announcements of planned recognition will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$58K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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No 90%

Yes 10%

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U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027?

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Market closes Dec 31, 2026

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Yes Market 10% +90 if correct · −10 if wrong No Market 90% +10 if correct · −90 if wrong

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