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Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2026 14%
June 30, 2026 2%
December 31, 2025 0%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and Syria officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Syria, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$2.1M Vol. Closed Dec 31, 2025

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$2.1m Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$2.1M Vol.

December 31, 2026

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

June 30, 2026

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

December 31, 2025

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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