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Middle East

Forecasts in Middle East · World

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UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

+27 more outcomes

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 31 27% Yes No

October 31 9% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$331K Vol.

Polymarket

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

October 31 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$90K Vol.

Polymarket

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

December 31 9% Yes No

June 7 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$458K Vol.

Polymarket

European military action against Iran by...?

December 31 3% Yes No

October 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$332K Vol.

Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 12% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$88K Vol.

Polymarket

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

$309K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthi military action against Israel by...?

December 31 22% Yes No

October 31 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$253K Vol.

Polymarket

Houthis enter Saudi Arabia by...?

December 31 28% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$66K Vol.

Polymarket

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 16% Yes No

October 31 6% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$3.6M Vol.

Polymarket World

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 31 7% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Iran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by...?

December 31 30% Yes No

November 30 22% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.2M Vol.

Polymarket World

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.

Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.

Polymarket World

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31 8% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$76.3M Vol.

Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.9M Vol.

Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 18% Yes No

October 31 3% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$7.5M Vol.

Polymarket World

Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by...?

December 31 30% Yes No

October 31 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$302K Vol.

Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 12% Yes No

November 30 6% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$20.0M Vol.

Polymarket World

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

December 31 30% Yes No

November 30 20% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.

Polymarket World