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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 18%
September 30 6%
July 31 2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Abbas Araghchi ceases to be Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Abbas Araghchi's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Abbas Araghchi and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

$43K Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

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$42.8k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$43K Vol.

December 31

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on December 31 Explain your No on December 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

September 30

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on September 30 Explain your No on September 30 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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July 31

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on July 31 Explain your No on July 31 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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