Politics

Elections, policy, and government

415 open forecasts

Events in Politics

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U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$102K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US lifts CAATSA sanctions on Turkey by...?

December 31 34% Yes No
October 31 21% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$46K Vol.
Polymarket

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$525K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 5% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$794K Vol.
Polymarket

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$29.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

U.S. recognizes Machado as leader of Venezuela by December 31?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$179K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$186K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Saudi nuclear deal enters into force in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$36K Vol.
Polymarket

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

US takes Panama Canal before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$166K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China tariff agreement by December 31?

No 12%
Yes 88%
$241K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by...?

September 30 4% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$661K Vol.
Polymarket

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 26% Yes No
September 30 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$800K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

What will be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?

Iran Reconstruction Funding 11% Yes No
1+ Year Enrichment Moratorium 10% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$799K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?

China 48% Yes No
No meeting by December 31 41% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$789K Vol.
Polymarket

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 92% Yes No
Belarus 2% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Which countries will join the Mecca Agreement by December 31?

Kuwait 18% Yes No
Qatar 14% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$51K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 16% Yes No
New Zealand 13% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$758K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will Trump make new trade deals with before 2027?

India 17% Yes No
Mexico 16% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$388K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Gavin Newsom 12% Yes No
Rahm Emanuel 10% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf 32% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 32% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$356K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$979K Vol.
Polymarket World