Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 31% Yes No
Theo James 28% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Core CPI YoY - July 2026

2.4% 41% Yes No
2.5% 24% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Other 50% Yes No
Show A 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket

Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?

No 84%
Yes 16%
$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Core PCE YoY - June 2026

≤3.3% 72% Yes No
3.4% 22% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$17K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 (QoQ)?

0.2–0.3% 60% Yes No
0.0–0.1% 26% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series

“Hacks” 55% Yes No
“Widow’s Bay” 43% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Luigi Mangione out of custody before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will US crude oil reserves fall to __ by August 28?

300M 99% Yes No
285M 87% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US defaults on debt by 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Japan Core CPI YoY in 2026

≤1.9% 43% Yes No
2.0-2.4% 40% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Eurozone GDP growth in Q2 2026

0.4-0.7% 67% Yes No
0.0-0.3% 12% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

What will Elon post this week? (July 20 - July 26)

Tesla 100% Yes No
Claude 100% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$16K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Chicago on July 25?

82-83°F 36% Yes No
80-81°F 27% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Song of the Summer

Other 50% Yes No
Song A 50% Yes No

+35 more outcomes

$16K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Price of Dozen Eggs in July?

$2.00–$2.25 81% Yes No
$2.25–$2.50 12% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Will George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Highest temperature in Miami on July 25?

90-91°F 40% Yes No
92-93°F 40% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Will ___ announce a new project at San Diego Comic-Con 2026?

Marvel Studios 93% Yes No
Apple TV 90% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

July Unemployment Rate

4.3% 40% Yes No
4.2% 23% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on July 25?

17°C 42% Yes No
16°C 26% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$15K Vol.
Polymarket

Chud the Builder convicted of attempted murder?

No 75%
Yes 25%
$15K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$14K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech