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Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
Top outcomes
The Odyssey
100%
La Bola Negra
94%
Wild Horse Nine
90%
Project Hail Mary
84%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$67K Vol.
Closes Mar 15, 2027
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$67.4k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$67K Vol.
The Odyssey
100% market probability
100%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 100%
+0 / −100
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 0%
+100 / −0
La Bola Negra
94% market probability
94%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 94%
+6 / −94
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 6%
+94 / −6
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0 / 2,000
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Wild Horse Nine
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 10%
+90 / −10
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Project Hail Mary
84% market probability
84%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 84%
+16 / −84
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
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0 / 2,000
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Dune: Part Three
83% market probability
83%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 83%
+17 / −83
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 17%
+83 / −17
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0 / 2,000
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The Debut
82% market probability
82%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 82%
+18 / −82
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 18%
+82 / −18
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0 / 2,000
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The Invite
68% market probability
68%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 68%
+32 / −68
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 32%
+68 / −32
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0 / 2,000
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You Can See Everything
59% market probability
59%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 59%
+41 / −59
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 41%
+59 / −41
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0 / 2,000
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Behemoth!
46% market probability
46%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 46%
+54 / −46
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 53%
+47 / −53
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0 / 2,000
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Obsession
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
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0 / 2,000
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I Play Rocky
44% market probability
44%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 44%
+56 / −44
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 55%
+45 / −55
Explain your Yes on I Play Rocky
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0 / 2,000
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Fjord
42% market probability
42%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 42%
+58 / −42
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 57%
+43 / −57
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0 / 2,000
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Elsinore
38% market probability
38%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 38%
+62 / −38
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 62%
+38 / −62
Explain your Yes on Elsinore
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0 / 2,000
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All of a Sudden
36% market probability
36%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 36%
+64 / −36
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 64%
+36 / −64
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0 / 2,000
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Digger
30% market probability
30%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 30%
+70 / −30
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 70%
+30 / −70
Explain your Yes on Digger
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0 / 2,000
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Michael
14% market probability
14%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 14%
+86 / −14
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 86%
+14 / −86
Explain your Yes on Michael
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0 / 2,000
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The Adventures of Cliff Booth
10% market probability
10%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 10%
+90 / −10
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 90%
+10 / −90
Explain your Yes on The Adventures of Cliff Booth
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0 / 2,000
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Fatherland
7% market probability
7%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 7%
+93 / −7
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 93%
+7 / −93
Explain your Yes on Fatherland
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0 / 2,000
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The Social Reckoning
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on The Social Reckoning
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0 / 2,000
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The Drama
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on The Drama
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Avengers: Doomsday
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Avengers: Doomsday
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Disclosure Day
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
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0 / 2,000
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