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# of views of next MrBeast video on day 1?

Top outcomes

35-40M 26%
40-45M 22%
30-35M 20%
45-50M 19%

This market will resolve according to the number of views the next YouTube video posted by MrBeast gets in the first 24 hours after being posted. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If MrBeast does not post a YouTube video by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the resolution source is not available at the end of the specified duration, this market will resolve according to most recent number of views available before the end of the specified duration. The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers to MrBeast's next video to be posted. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.

$23K Vol. Closes Dec 1, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$22.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$23K Vol.

35-40M

26% market probability

26%

Explain your Yes on 35-40M Explain your No on 35-40M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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40-45M

22% market probability

22%

Explain your Yes on 40-45M Explain your No on 40-45M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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30-35M

20% market probability

20%

Explain your Yes on 30-35M Explain your No on 30-35M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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45-50M

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on 45-50M Explain your No on 45-50M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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50-55M

11% market probability

11%

Explain your Yes on 50-55M Explain your No on 50-55M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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<30M

9% market probability

9%

Explain your Yes on <30M Explain your No on <30M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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55-60M

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 55-60M Explain your No on 55-60M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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60M+

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 60M+ Explain your No on 60M+ (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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