Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Bitcoin all time high by ___? 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion Russia nuclear test by...? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 2026 NBA Champion Netanyahu out by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Starmer out by...? US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Fed Decision in July? F1 Constructors' Champion What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Bitcoin all time high by ___? 2026 NHL Stanley Cup Champion Russia nuclear test by...? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 FIFA World Cup Winner 2026 NBA Champion Netanyahu out by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election? Starmer out by...? US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by...? Next UK Prime Minister in 2026? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Fed Decision in July? F1 Constructors' Champion What will SpaceX's public ticker be?
Open Polymarket

Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$25M 74%
$50M 46%
$200M 36%
$400M 30%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$40K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$39.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$40K Vol.

$25M

74% market probability

74%

Explain your Yes on $25M Explain your No on $25M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$50M

46% market probability

46%

Explain your Yes on $50M Explain your No on $50M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$200M

36% market probability

36%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$400M

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on $400M Explain your No on $400M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$100M

30% market probability

30%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$500M

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$600M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $600M Explain your No on $600M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$800M

10% market probability

10%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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