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US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? Los Angeles Mayoral Election Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Bitcoin hit in October? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Russia invade a NATO country by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Iran full airspace closure by...? NBA: 2027 Champion Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Pro Football: 2027 Champion US military action against Cuba by...? Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...? Largest Company end of December 2026? Iran leader end of 2026? F1 Constructors' Champion
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Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$25M 50%
$50M 28%
$200M 19%
$100M 18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$76K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$76.0k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$76K Vol.

$25M

50% market probability

50%

Explain your Yes on $25M Explain your No on $25M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$50M

28% market probability

28%

Explain your Yes on $50M Explain your No on $50M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$200M

19% market probability

19%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$100M

18% market probability

18%

Explain your Yes on $100M Explain your No on $100M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$400M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $400M Explain your No on $400M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$500M

6% market probability

6%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$1B

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $1B Explain your No on $1B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$600M

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $600M Explain your No on $600M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$800M

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on $2B Explain your No on $2B (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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