Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?
Prime Minister of Israel after the next election? Trump out as President before 2027? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Pro Football: 2027 NFC Champion Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion F1 Constructors' Champion Iran full airspace closure by...? UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will Hamas agree to disarm by...? Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...? Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___?
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Ethereal FDV above ___ one day after launch?

Top outcomes

$25M 72%
$50M 24%
$100M 22%
$500M 14%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Ethereal's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Ethereal (https://x.com/etherealdex) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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$62K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$61.9k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$62K Vol.

$25M

72% market probability

72%

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0 / 2,000

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$50M

24% market probability

24%

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0 / 2,000

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$100M

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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$500M

14% market probability

14%

Explain your Yes on $500M Explain your No on $500M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$400M

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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$200M

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on $200M Explain your No on $200M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$300M

12% market probability

12%

Explain your Yes on $300M Explain your No on $300M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$600M

8% market probability

8%

Explain your Yes on $600M Explain your No on $600M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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$2B

4% market probability

4%

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0 / 2,000

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$1B

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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$800M

3% market probability

3%

Explain your Yes on $800M Explain your No on $800M (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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