Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$566K Vol.
Polymarket
Fed Decision in January?
No change
62%
Yes
No
25 bps increase
34%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$565K Vol.
Polymarket
Economy
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$565K Vol.
Polymarket
Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?
No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026
88%
Yes
No
December
8%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$561K Vol.
Polymarket
Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
No
72%
Yes
28%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket
Pop Culture
Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?
800k+
100%
Yes
No
1M+
4%
Yes
No
$548K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
US military draft authorized in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
1.8T+
60%
Yes
No
1.5–1.8T
23%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$539K Vol.
Polymarket
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$538K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026
Harry Kane
97%
Yes
No
Lamine Yamal
93%
Yes
No
+29 more outcomes
$537K Vol.
Polymarket
Sports
Will Israel annex any territory by...?
June 30, 2027
13%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
10%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$536K Vol.
Polymarket
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?
December 31
6%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$534K Vol.
Polymarket
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
600B+
94%
Yes
No
No IPO by December 31, 2027
5%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$526K Vol.
Polymarket
How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?
<5
54%
Yes
No
5-6
38%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$525K Vol.
Polymarket
Science & Tech
Who will Trump pardon before 2027?
Donald Brodie
16%
Yes
No
Stefan Brodie
16%
Yes
No
+26 more outcomes
$523K Vol.
Polymarket
Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?
$40M
22%
Yes
No
$10M
22%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$519K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
1.5T+
45%
Yes
No
No IPO by December 31, 2027
25%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$515K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$514K Vol.
Polymarket
US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?
December 31
11%
Yes
No
October 31
2%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$510K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be arrested before 2027?
John Brennan
20%
Yes
No
Mahmoud Khalil
18%
Yes
No
+22 more outcomes
$509K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Exponent launch a token by ___?
December 31, 2027
50%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
12%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$503K Vol.
Polymarket
Crypto
Nevada Governor Election Winner
Aaron Ford (D)
57%
Yes
No
Joe Lombardo (R)
42%
Yes
No
$495K Vol.
Polymarket
Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...?
December 31
30%
Yes
No
November 30
20%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$494K Vol.
Polymarket
Showing 337–360