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Polymarket
Bitcoin above ___ on June 16?
Top outcomes
52,000
99%
54,000
98%
56,000
95%
58,000
88%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar.
Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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$45K Vol.
Closes Jun 16, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$44.7k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$45K Vol.
52,000
99% market probability
99%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 99%
+1 / −99
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 1%
+99 / −1
54,000
98% market probability
98%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 98%
+2 / −98
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 2%
+98 / −2
Explain your Yes on 54,000
Explain your No on 54,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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56,000
95% market probability
95%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 95%
+5 / −95
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 5%
+95 / −5
Explain your Yes on 56,000
Explain your No on 56,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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58,000
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
Explain your Yes on 58,000
Explain your No on 58,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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60,000
76% market probability
76%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 76%
+24 / −76
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 24%
+76 / −24
Explain your Yes on 60,000
Explain your No on 60,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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62,000
51% market probability
51%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 51%
+49 / −51
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 49%
+51 / −49
Explain your Yes on 62,000
Explain your No on 62,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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64,000
27% market probability
27%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 27%
+73 / −27
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 73%
+27 / −73
Explain your Yes on 64,000
Explain your No on 64,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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66,000
11% market probability
11%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 11%
+89 / −11
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 89%
+11 / −89
Explain your Yes on 66,000
Explain your No on 66,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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68,000
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on 68,000
Explain your No on 68,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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70,000
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on 70,000
Explain your No on 70,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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72,000
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on 72,000
Explain your No on 72,000
(optional)
0 / 2,000
Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.
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