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Bitcoin above ___ on June 16?

Top outcomes

52,000 99%
54,000 98%
56,000 95%
58,000 88%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

$45K Vol. Closes Jun 16, 2026

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$44.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$45K Vol.

52,000

99% market probability

99%

Explain your Yes on 52,000 Explain your No on 52,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

54,000

98% market probability

98%

Explain your Yes on 54,000 Explain your No on 54,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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56,000

95% market probability

95%

Explain your Yes on 56,000 Explain your No on 56,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

58,000

88% market probability

88%

Explain your Yes on 58,000 Explain your No on 58,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

60,000

76% market probability

76%

Explain your Yes on 60,000 Explain your No on 60,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

Share the argument behind your pick — visible in the public forecast feed.

62,000

51% market probability

51%

Explain your Yes on 62,000 Explain your No on 62,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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64,000

27% market probability

27%

Explain your Yes on 64,000 Explain your No on 64,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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66,000

11% market probability

11%

Explain your Yes on 66,000 Explain your No on 66,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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68,000

4% market probability

4%

Explain your Yes on 68,000 Explain your No on 68,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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70,000

2% market probability

2%

Explain your Yes on 70,000 Explain your No on 70,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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72,000

1% market probability

1%

Explain your Yes on 72,000 Explain your No on 72,000 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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Public forecast history

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