Resolved Pop Culture Polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Top outcomes

Joe Biden 100%
Barack Obama 100%
Candace Owens 100%
Jerome Powell 100%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

$770K Vol. Closes Jun 30, 2026
Resolved outcome: Kaitlan Collins

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$769.7k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$770K Vol.

Joe Biden

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Barack Obama

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Candace Owens

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Jerome Powell

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Tucker Carlson

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Kaitlan Collins

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Marjorie Taylor Greene

100% market probability

100%
Yes 100% +0 / −100 No 0% +100 / −0

Jimmy Kimmel

50% market probability

50%
Yes 50% +50 / −50 No 50% +50 / −50

Nicolás Maduro

42% market probability

42%
Yes 42% +58 / −42 No 58% +42 / −58

Megyn Kelly

34% market probability

34%
Yes 34% +66 / −34 No 66% +34 / −66

Norah O'Donnell

34% market probability

34%
Yes 34% +66 / −34 No 66% +34 / −66

Alex Jones

29% market probability

29%
Yes 29% +71 / −29 No 71% +29 / −71

Keir Starmer

21% market probability

21%
Yes 21% +79 / −21 No 79% +21 / −79

Emmanuel Macron

18% market probability

18%
Yes 18% +82 / −18 No 82% +18 / −82

Benjamin Netanyahu

16% market probability

16%
Yes 16% +84 / −16 No 84% +16 / −84

Freidrich Merz

14% market probability

14%
Yes 14% +86 / −14 No 86% +14 / −86

Zohran Mamdani

12% market probability

12%
Yes 12% +88 / −12 No 88% +12 / −88

Pope Leo XIV

10% market probability

10%
Yes 10% +90 / −10 No 90% +10 / −90

Elon Musk

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Vladimir Putin

8% market probability

8%
Yes 8% +92 / −8 No 92% +8 / −92

Pam Bondi

7% market probability

7%
Yes 7% +93 / −7 No 93% +7 / −93

Mohammed bin Salman

6% market probability

6%
Yes 6% +94 / −6 No 94% +6 / −94

J.D. Vance

4% market probability

4%
Yes 4% +96 / −4 No 96% +4 / −96

Viktor Orbán

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Xi Jinping

2% market probability

2%
Yes 2% +98 / −2 No 98% +2 / −98

Melania Trump

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99
Forecasts are closed for this market.

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No forecasts were placed before this market closed.