Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$613K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Arc launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 73% Yes No
June 30, 2027 44% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$611K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia invade another country by...?

December 31, 2027 18% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
$608K Vol.
Polymarket

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

December 31, 2027 48% Yes No
June 30, 2027 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$606K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?

CXMT 31% Yes No
CATL 21% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$606K Vol.
Polymarket

Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$602K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia target Kyiv on...?

October 1 100% Yes No
October 2 100% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$600K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be the next UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 in 2026?

Islam/None in 2026 94% Yes No
Petr Yan 2% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$600K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 91% Yes No
$20B+ 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$598K Vol.
Polymarket

FDA approves Retatrutide this year?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$595K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Predict.fun launch a token by ___?

September 30, 2027 97% Yes No
December 31, 2027 97% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$594K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31 74% Yes No
November 30 52% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$589K Vol.
Polymarket

Abstract FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$2.5B 3% Yes No
$200M 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$585K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$577K Vol.
Polymarket

Ohio enacts data center moratorium by...?

December 31, 2028 26% Yes No
December 31, 2027 20% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$576K Vol.
Polymarket

Texas Governor Election Winner

Greg Abbott (R) 77% Yes No
Gina Hinojosa (D) 22% Yes No
$575K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will visit Ukraine by December 31?

Maia Sandu 100% Yes No
Donald Tusk 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$566K Vol.
Polymarket

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

5.0% 5% Yes No
7.0% 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$564K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

No 95%
Yes 5%
$563K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$562K Vol.
Polymarket

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 88% Yes No
December 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$560K Vol.
Polymarket

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

Jean-Luc Mélenchon 94% Yes No
Marine Le Pen 92% Yes No

+44 more outcomes

$558K Vol.
Polymarket

Fed Decision in January?

No change 66% Yes No
25 bps increase 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$549K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide?

No 70%
Yes 30%
$549K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture