Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Will MicroStrategy announce holding ___ BTC by December 31, 2026?

800k+ 100% Yes No
1M+ 4% Yes No
$548K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US military draft authorized in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$544K Vol.
Polymarket

Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$537K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Israel annex any territory by...?

March 31, 2027 50% Yes No
June 30, 2027 50% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$536K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by...?

December 31 98% Yes No
October 31 86% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$536K Vol.
Polymarket

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$535K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by...?

December 31 6% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$534K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel Election: Likud # of seats?

20-24 44% Yes No
25-29 24% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$532K Vol.
Polymarket

What price will Ethereum hit October 12-18?

↓ 2,400 100% Yes No
↓ 2,500 100% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$529K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 58% Yes No
1.5–1.8T 29% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$528K Vol.
Polymarket

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 95% Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 2027 3% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$526K Vol.
Polymarket

How many SpaceX Starship launches reach space in 2026?

<5 60% Yes No
5-6 34% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$525K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Who will Trump pardon before 2027?

Daniel Penny 24% Yes No
Donald Brodie 22% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$519K Vol.
Polymarket

Reya FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$70M 24% Yes No
$40M 23% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$518K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?

No 75%
Yes 25%
$517K Vol.
Polymarket

US Announces Diesel Export ban by...?

December 31 11% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$510K Vol.
Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$507K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be arrested before 2027?

John Brennan 20% Yes No
Mahmoud Khalil 16% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$503K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Exponent launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 48% Yes No
December 31, 2026 13% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$502K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 45% Yes No
No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$488K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Netanyahu be pardoned by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$487K Vol.
Polymarket

Ballon d'Or Top 3 Finish 2026

Harry Kane 98% Yes No
Lamine Yamal 96% Yes No

+29 more outcomes

$486K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$486K Vol.
Polymarket

Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?

December 31, 2026 34% Yes No
October 31, 2026 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$485K Vol.
Polymarket