Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 27% Yes No
September 30 4% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

New pandemic in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

MLB: 2026 AL MVP

Yordan Alvarez 95% Yes No
Bobby Witt Jr. 2% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Fed Decision in October?

No change 70% Yes No
25 bps increase 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket

MLB: NL Rookie of the Year

Sal Stewart 80% Yes No
Nolan McLean 10% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Largest Company end of September?

NVIDIA 92% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Who will be UFC Light Heavyweight champion at the end of 2026?

Carlos Ulberg 91% Yes No
Magomed Ankalaev 6% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$1.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

MLB: 2026 NL Central Champion

Milwaukee Brewers 94% Yes No
Chicago Cubs 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$999K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

India strike on Pakistan by...?

December 31, 2026 16% Yes No
October 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$991K Vol.
Polymarket World

Texas Senate Election Winner

James Talarico (D) 50% Yes No
Ken Paxton (R) 48% Yes No
$979K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$978K Vol.
Polymarket World

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 4% Yes No
July 17 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$973K Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
September 15 4% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$962K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 86% Yes No
Druzkhivka 48% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$959K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$955K Vol.
Polymarket World

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$942K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No
June 30, 2027 54% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$937K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$932K Vol.
Polymarket World

WNBA: 2026 Champion

Minnesota Lynx 46% Yes No
Indiana Fever 12% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$931K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place

Augusto Cury 53% Yes No
Renan Santos 25% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$926K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will be UFC Middleweight champion at the end of 2026?

Sean Strickland 62% Yes No
Nassourdine Imavov 23% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$920K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Bitcoin vs. Gold vs. S&P 500 in 2026

S&P 500 56% Yes No
Gold 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$907K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLS: 2026 Golden Boot Winner

Lionel Messi 59% Yes No
Petar Musa 20% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$903K Vol.
Polymarket Sports