Open Science & Tech Polymarket

Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by...?

Top outcomes

December 31, 2027 68%
June 30, 2027 54%
December 31, 2026 5%

If the Doge-1 12U Lunar Cube satellite successfully launches from its launch pad by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by SpaceX (https://www.youtube.com/c/SpaceX), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the satellite with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.

$937K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2028

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$936.5k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$937K Vol.

December 31, 2027

68% market probability

68%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2027 Explain your No on December 31, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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June 30, 2027

54% market probability

54%

Explain your Yes on June 30, 2027 Explain your No on June 30, 2027 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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December 31, 2026

5% market probability

5%

Explain your Yes on December 31, 2026 Explain your No on December 31, 2026 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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