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Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by...?

Top outcomes

December 31 59%
June 30 1%
March 31 0%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if MicroStrategy is removed from either the MSCI World Index or the MSCI USA Index at any point by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If MicroStrategy is transferred between indexes (e.g., from MSCI World to another MSCI index), that will also count as a removal for the purposes of this market. An official MSCI announcement of removal or transfer will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution. The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.

$1.0M Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$1.0m Vol.

All outcomes

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$1.0M Vol.

December 31

59% market probability

59%
Yes 59% +41 / −59 No 41% +59 / −41

June 30

1% market probability

1%
Yes 1% +99 / −1 No 99% +1 / −99

March 31

0% market probability

0%
Yes 0% +100 / −0 No 100% +0 / −100
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