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MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Top outcomes
Jacob Misiorowski
54%
Cristopher Sanchez
28%
Shohei Ohtani
8%
Paul Skenes
6%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$422K Vol.
Closes Nov 12, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$421.9k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$422K Vol.
Jacob Misiorowski
54% market probability
54%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 54%
+46 / −54
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 46%
+54 / −46
Cristopher Sanchez
28% market probability
28%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 28%
+72 / −28
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 72%
+28 / −72
Explain your Yes on Cristopher Sanchez
Explain your No on Cristopher Sanchez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Shohei Ohtani
8% market probability
8%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 8%
+92 / −8
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 92%
+8 / −92
Explain your Yes on Shohei Ohtani
Explain your No on Shohei Ohtani
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Paul Skenes
6% market probability
6%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 6%
+94 / −6
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 94%
+6 / −94
Explain your Yes on Paul Skenes
Explain your No on Paul Skenes
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yoshinobu Yamamoto
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Yoshinobu Yamamoto
Explain your No on Yoshinobu Yamamoto
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Chris Sale
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Chris Sale
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eury Perez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eury Perez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jesus Luzardo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Jesus Luzardo
Explain your No on Jesus Luzardo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nolan McLean
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nolan McLean
Explain your No on Nolan McLean
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Zack Wheeler
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Zack Wheeler
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mason Miller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mason Miller
Explain your No on Mason Miller
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Lodolo
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nick Lodolo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Freddy Peralta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Freddy Peralta
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Brandon Woodruff
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Brandon Woodruff
Explain your No on Brandon Woodruff
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Logan Webb
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Logan Webb
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Blake Snell
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Blake Snell
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Michael King
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Michael King
Explain your No on Michael King
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mitch Keller
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mitch Keller
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Pivetta
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Nick Pivetta
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Hunter Greene
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Hunter Greene
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Tyler Glasnow
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Tyler Glasnow
Explain your No on Tyler Glasnow
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spencer Strider
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Spencer Strider
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Spencer Schwellenbach
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Spencer Schwellenbach
Explain your No on Spencer Schwellenbach
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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