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MLB: 2026 AL MVP
Top outcomes
Yordan Alvarez
61%
Bobby Witt Jr.
16%
Nick Kurtz
4%
Ben Rice
4%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Most Valuable Player Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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$423K Vol.
Closes Nov 13, 2026
Live Polymarket Chart
Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$423.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$423K Vol.
Yordan Alvarez
61% market probability
61%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 61%
+39 / −61
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 39%
+61 / −39
Bobby Witt Jr.
16% market probability
16%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 16%
+84 / −16
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 84%
+16 / −84
Explain your Yes on Bobby Witt Jr.
Explain your No on Bobby Witt Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Nick Kurtz
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Nick Kurtz
Explain your No on Nick Kurtz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Ben Rice
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Ben Rice
Explain your No on Ben Rice
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jose Ramirez
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Jose Ramirez
Explain your No on Jose Ramirez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gunnar Henderson
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Gunnar Henderson
Explain your No on Gunnar Henderson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Corey Seager
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Corey Seager
Explain your No on Corey Seager
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Aaron Judge
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Aaron Judge
Explain your No on Aaron Judge
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julio Rodriguez
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Julio Rodriguez
Explain your No on Julio Rodriguez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mike Trout
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Mike Trout
Explain your No on Mike Trout
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Cal Raleigh
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Cal Raleigh
Explain your No on Cal Raleigh
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
Explain your No on Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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