UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Epstein client list released by...? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Next French Presidential Election Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB: 2026 National League Champion US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Fed Decision in October? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

UEFA Champions League: 2027 Champion Epstein client list released by...? Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...? Which party will win the Senate in 2026? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Bitcoin all time high by ___? Next French Presidential Election Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Iran full airspace closure by...? MLB: 2026 National League Champion US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Fed Decision in October? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

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When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 90% Yes No

October 19–October 25 4% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?

1480+ 36% Yes No

1495+ 26% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?

#10 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?

Hodge Conjecture 32% Yes No

No solution by Dec 31, 2027 30% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

Polymarket Science & Tech

Natural Disaster in 2026?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Will any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?

1560 48% Yes No

1580 21% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?

↑ 1500 100% Yes No

↑ 1510 100% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

Best Chinese AI Company end of October?

Xiaomi 59% Yes No

Other 50% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Polymarket Science & Tech

How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?

12-15 84% Yes No

16-19 7% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

FDA approves skin cancer vaccine by...?

December 31, 2027 66% Yes No

September 30, 2027 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

Polymarket Science & Tech

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

55%+ 100% Yes No

60%+ 38% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

45%+ 62% Yes No

50%+ 42% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Anthropic lab leak by...?

June 30, 2027 6% Yes No

December 31, 2026 2% Yes No

Will any Category 5 hurricane make landfall in the US in before 2027?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Highest OpenAI score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No

55%+ 80% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?

1525 100% Yes No

1550 100% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

50%+ 100% Yes No

55%+ 100% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

SSI public model released by…?

November 30 38% Yes No

December 31 36% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Gemini Pro Model released on...?

No release by October 31 92% Yes No

October 20 3% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?

Polymarket Science & Tech

Next Google Gemini Pro Model: Humanity’s Last Exam Debut?

45%+ 36% Yes No

40%+ 35% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Which AI labs commit to third party vetting by October 31?

Microsoft 14% Yes No

Google 13% Yes No

+11 more outcomes