Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

Don Lemon 14% Yes No
Pete Buttigieg 14% Yes No

+69 more outcomes

$897K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by...?

September 30 18% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$896K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by...?

August 31 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$894K Vol.
Polymarket World

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

AfD 98% Yes No
CDU 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$868K Vol.
Polymarket

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$850K Vol.
Polymarket World

US charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
August 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$849K Vol.
Polymarket

Romanian PM Bolojan out by...?

December 31 95% Yes No
July 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$834K Vol.
Polymarket

Maine Democratic Senate nominee on July 27?

Troy Jackson 99% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$828K Vol.
Polymarket

Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$818K Vol.
Polymarket World

Weed rescheduled by...?

December 31 28% Yes No
July 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$784K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

August 31 47% Yes No
August 15 29% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$780K Vol.
Polymarket

U.S. nuclear test by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
September 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Iran hold a presidential election by...?

December 31 9% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$767K Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will recognize Palestine before 2027?

Belgium 20% Yes No
Finland 12% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$752K Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$736K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
August 31, 2026 2% Yes No
$711K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$709K Vol.
Polymarket

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$700K Vol.
Polymarket

Nothing Ever Happens: 2026

No 32%
Yes 68%
$690K Vol.
Polymarket

Foreign intervention in Gaza by..?

December 31 34% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$654K Vol.
Polymarket

US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$617K Vol.
Polymarket World

Texas Senate Election Winner

Ken Paxton (R) 56% Yes No
James Talarico (D) 44% Yes No
$613K Vol.
Polymarket

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$574K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?

No 7%
Yes 93%
$566K Vol.
Polymarket