Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Which party will win the House in 2026?
Democratic Party
86%
Yes
No
Republican Party
14%
Yes
No
$8.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by...?
December 31, 2026
89%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
74%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$8.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Iran announces withdrawal from MOU negotiations by...?
August 15
19%
Yes
No
July 31
10%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$8.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
December 31
34%
Yes
No
September 30
22%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
5
44%
Yes
No
4
38%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$7.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
August 31
32%
Yes
No
July 31
6%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$7.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
July 31
10%
Yes
No
May 31
0%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
3%
Yes
No
August 31
1%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
September 30, 2026
3%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$6.1M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31
36%
Yes
No
October 31
23%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$5.6M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Epstein client list released by...?
July 31
1%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$4.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Flávio Bolsonaro
75%
Yes
No
Renan Santos
15%
Yes
No
+15 more outcomes
$4.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No
66%
Yes
34%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
December 31
10%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
World
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Republican Party
56%
Yes
No
Democratic Party
44%
Yes
No
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Sweden
Magdalena Andersson
80%
Yes
No
Ulf Kristersson
16%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Alexandru Nazare
35%
Yes
No
Sorin Grindeanu
14%
Yes
No
+34 more outcomes
$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No
86%
Yes
14%
$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
42%
Yes
No
December 31
12%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Berlin State Election Winner
Linke
34%
Yes
No
CDU
28%
Yes
No
+6 more outcomes
$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be...?
No Meeting by September 30
27%
Yes
No
Switzerland
22%
Yes
No
+17 more outcomes
$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket
World
Showing 25–48