Markets
All markets
Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
No
97%
Yes
3%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
December 31, 2027
68%
Yes
No
November 30, 2027
64%
Yes
No
+16 more outcomes
$8.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?
4
64%
Yes
No
5
16%
Yes
No
+14 more outcomes
$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Which party will win the Senate in 2026?
Democratic Party
64%
Yes
No
Republican Party
38%
Yes
No
$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
December 31
28%
Yes
No
October 31
6%
Yes
No
+10 more outcomes
$6.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Russia nuclear test by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Indiana enacts data center moratorium by...?
December 31, 2028
28%
Yes
No
December 31, 2027
12%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Russia invade a NATO country by...?
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$5.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Next Prime Minister of Romania?
Luca Niculescu
92%
Yes
No
Alexandru Nazare
1%
Yes
No
+36 more outcomes
$5.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Epstein client list released by...?
October 31
5%
Yes
No
July 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$4.4M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
44%
Yes
No
December 31
14%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027
9%
Yes
No
December 31
3%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$4.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
No
76%
Yes
24%
$3.9M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Texas Senate Election Winner
James Talarico (D)
62%
Yes
No
Ken Paxton (R)
38%
Yes
No
$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?
December 31, 2026
12%
Yes
No
December 31
0%
Yes
No
+4 more outcomes
$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
No meeting before 2027
96%
Yes
No
US
2%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
90%
Yes
10%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?
December 31, 2026
5%
Yes
No
June 30, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
US strike on Mexico by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
March 31
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
≤47
38%
Yes
No
48
16%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$3.2M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 25–48