California Governor Election Winner Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Largest Company end of December 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

California Governor Election Winner Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Largest Company end of December 2026? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? Presidential Election Winner 2028 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

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China Annual GDP Growth 2026

4.0–5.0% 89% Yes No

5.0–6.0% 6% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Other 56% Yes No

Pause–Pause–Pause 42% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Fed decisions (Jul–Oct)

Other 64% Yes No

Pause–Pause–Pause 36% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No

Sam Altman - OpenAI 8% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

$1.75–$2.0T 22% Yes No

$2.0–$2.25T 18% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Fed Decision in December?

25 bps increase 47% Yes No

No change 44% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 95% Yes No

No IPO by December 31, 2027 2% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 20% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Bank of Japan Decision in September?

25 bps increase 89% Yes No

No change 10% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

1.8T+ 84% Yes No

1.5–1.8T 11% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

↑ $7,400 100% Yes No

↑ $7,600 100% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

$20B+ 48% Yes No

$17.5B–$20B 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

ECB Interest Rates: September 2026

25 bps increase 99% Yes No

No change 1% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

4.3% 100% Yes No

4.4% 100% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

1 (25 bps) 45% Yes No

0 (0 bps) 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

4.0% 100% Yes No

3.9% 22% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in September?

No change 97% Yes No

25 bps increase 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 56% Yes No

1.25T–1.5T 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

Will Venezuelan crude oil production reach __ barrels per day in 2026?

1.1m 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Which companies will the US take a stake in?

GlobalFoundries 94% Yes No

Rigetti 82% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

Polymarket Economy

Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?

Polymarket Economy

Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by...?

December 31 6% Yes No

August 31 0% Yes No

Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?

OpenAI 20% Yes No

Google 16% Yes No

+12 more outcomes