New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Pro Football: 2027 AFC Champion Next Prime Minister of Romania? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Anthropic IPO by __? Next French Presidential Election Largest Company end of December 2026? Which companies will be acquired before 2027? Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...? Netanyahu out by...? Which party will win the House in 2026? Measles cases in U.S. in 2026? Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...? Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? US-Iran ceasefire continues through...? Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Status

How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?

2 (50 bps) 68% Yes No

1 (25 bps) 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by...?

December 31 32% Yes No

October 31 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.1M Vol.

Polymarket

How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?

+11 more outcomes

China Annual GDP Growth 2026

+8 more outcomes

Another Fed rate hike in 2026?

Which CEOs will be out before 2027?

Tim Cook - Apple 100% Yes No

Brian Armstrong - Coinbase 7% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$718K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

ECB Interest Rates: October 2026

No change 96% Yes No

25 bps increase 4% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$629K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Oura IPO Closing Market Cap

No IPO before January 2027 92% Yes No

$20B+ 2% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$599K Vol.

Polymarket

How high will US unemployment go in 2026?

+3 more outcomes

Fed Decision in January?

No change 62% Yes No

25 bps increase 34% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$565K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Largest Company end of October 2026?

+23 more outcomes

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)

+5 more outcomes

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)

600B+ 94% Yes No

No IPO by December 31, 2027 5% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$526K Vol.

Polymarket

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

1.5T+ 45% Yes No

No IPO by December 31, 2027 25% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$509K Vol.

Polymarket

US x Cuba economic deal by...?

December 31 12% Yes No

July 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$447K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

+17 more outcomes

How low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?

Below 4.0% 100% Yes No

Below 4.7% 24% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$412K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

<$1T 23% Yes No

$1.5T–$1.75T 20% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$399K Vol.

Polymarket

In which month will Anthropic IPO?

November 2026 55% Yes No

January 2027 20% Yes No

+15 more outcomes

$391K Vol.

Polymarket

Fed decisions (Sep–Dec)

Hike–Pause–Hike 68% Yes No

Hike–Pause–Pause 19% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$374K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

Bank of England decision in November?

25 bps increase 94% Yes No

No change 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$346K Vol.

Polymarket Economy

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 22% Yes No

December 31, 2028 16% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$338K Vol.

Polymarket

NuScale announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 26% Yes No

December 31, 2028 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$279K Vol.

Polymarket

CoreWeave announces bankruptcy by...?

December 31, 2029 28% Yes No

December 31, 2028 22% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$254K Vol.

Polymarket