Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Fed rate cut by...?

Forecasts closed
December Meeting 16% Yes No
October Meeting 16% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Forecasts closed
Bert Mizusawa 80% Yes No
Kim Farington 16% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bachelorette Season 22 Winner

Other (Season Cancelled) 86% Yes No
Doug Mason 6% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will __ ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?

20+ 0% Yes No
40+ 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Next Prime Minister of Romania?

Forecasts closed
Adrian Veștea 29% Yes No
Alexandru Nazare 18% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Bitcoin above ___ on June 14?

52,000 100% Yes No
54,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

OpenAI IPO by...?

December 31, 2026 54% Yes No
September 30, 2026 16% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?

No 0%
Yes 100%
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Pause–Pause–Pause 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ethereum all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
September 30, 2026 3% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?

Bass & Raman 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Alberta join the US?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will advance from the California Governor primary?

Xavier Becerra 100% Yes No
Steve Hilton 100% Yes No

+34 more outcomes

$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Next Prime Minister of Sweden

Magdalena Andersson 74% Yes No
Ulf Kristersson 24% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will SpaceX's valuation hit __ by June 30?

↑$1.5T 100% Yes No
↑$1.6T 100% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by...?

June 30 1% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Colombia by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 24% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31, 2026 12% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Hamas agree to disarm by...?

June 30, 2026 3% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World