Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year
Puffpaw FDV above ___ one day after launch? Which party will win the House in 2026? Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Russia nuclear test by...? Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...? Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? California Governor Election Winner New "Stranger Things" episode released by...? Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? US announces end of Iranian blockade by...? 2026 Women’s US Open Winner (Tennis) Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch? Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...? When will Bitcoin hit $150k? Republican Presidential Nominee 2028 2026 Men’s US Open Winner (Tennis) How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026? NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

World

Geopolitics, conflicts, and global events

103 open forecasts

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Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
September 30 2% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$69K Vol.
Polymarket

Another NATO article 4 by...?

December 31 31% Yes No
October 31 20% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$163K Vol.
Polymarket

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Philippines military clash before 2027?

No 68%
Yes 32%
$361K Vol.
Polymarket

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 93%
Yes 7%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Cuban regime falls in 2026?

No 89%
Yes 11%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$308K Vol.
Polymarket

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 64% Yes No
9 30% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran charges Hormuz fees by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
October 31 22% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran invades Kuwait by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
October 31 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$434K Vol.
Polymarket

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 15% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31 7% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$8.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?

No 86%
Yes 14%
$357K Vol.
Polymarket

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
September 30 1% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$72.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 22% Yes No
October 31 10% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russia x Ukraine any diplomatic meeting by...?

December 31 78% Yes No
October 31 68% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$85K Vol.
Polymarket

Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$150K Vol.
Polymarket

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

December 31 54% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?

December 31 10% Yes No
November 30 6% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$16.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 14% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket World