Geopolitics

Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics

185 open forecasts of 519 in Politics

Events in Geopolitics

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Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$161K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$124K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit Greenland by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 1% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$356K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Trump visit North Korea by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$167K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
August 31, 2026 0% Yes No
$869K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$152K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$208K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket

Will US withdraw from NATO by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Yoon out of custody before 2027?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$232K Vol.
Polymarket

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$3.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027?

No 88%
Yes 12%
$228K Vol.
Polymarket

Which countries will Donald Trump visit in 2026?

China 100% Yes No
France 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$682K Vol.
Polymarket

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Xi Jinping 100% Yes No
Javier Milei 100% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

January 31, 2027 66% Yes No
January 15, 2027 40% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$866K Vol.
Polymarket

Which month will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal?

No Return to Normal Traffic in 2026 88% Yes No
December 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$561K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Israeli Minister of Foreign Affairs?

Other 50% Yes No
Person I 50% Yes No

+32 more outcomes

$80K Vol.
Polymarket

Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

March 31 22% Yes No
December 31 5% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?

March 31 58% Yes No
December 31 36% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$41.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Iran leadership change by...?

June 30, 2027 26% Yes No
December 31 12% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$27.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Modi out by June 30, 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$45K Vol.
Polymarket

Putin out as President of Russia by...?

June 30, 2027 10% Yes No
December 31, 2026 3% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$29.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics