Geopolitics
Forecasts in Geopolitics · Politics
165 open forecasts of 413 in Politics
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Events in Geopolitics
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Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?
December 31
4%
Yes
No
April 30
0%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$158K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?
No
91%
Yes
9%
$115K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Trump visit North Korea by...?
December 31
12%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
$154K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia by...?
December 31, 2026
8%
Yes
No
August 31, 2026
0%
Yes
No
$792K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?
No
96%
Yes
4%
$149K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by...?
December 31
34%
Yes
No
September 30
8%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$195K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
No
95%
Yes
5%
$155K Vol.
Polymarket
Will US withdraw from NATO by...?
December 31
2%
Yes
No
June 30
0%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will Xi Jinping visit US by...?
December 31
97%
Yes
No
October 31
96%
Yes
No
+2 more outcomes
$841K Vol.
Polymarket
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
No
94%
Yes
6%
$202K Vol.
Polymarket
Next round of US-Iran peace talks by...?
March 31, 2027
56%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
40%
Yes
No
+9 more outcomes
$10.7M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Iran leadership change by...?
June 30, 2027
26%
Yes
No
December 31
16%
Yes
No
+12 more outcomes
$24.5M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Putin out as President of Russia by...?
June 30, 2027
16%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
6%
Yes
No
+3 more outcomes
$22.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?
June 30, 2027
50%
Yes
No
March 31, 2027
38%
Yes
No
+5 more outcomes
$6.3M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Turkey rejoins F-35 program by...?
June 30, 2027
22%
Yes
No
December 31, 2026
10%
Yes
No
$43K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be added to Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
DeepSeek
30%
Yes
No
Xiaomi
14%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$84K Vol.
Polymarket
Who will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
Hesai
18%
Yes
No
Alibaba
18%
Yes
No
+8 more outcomes
$274K Vol.
Polymarket
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
No
92%
Yes
8%
$429K Vol.
Polymarket
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...?
June 30, 2027
12%
Yes
No
December 31
6%
Yes
No
+1 more outcome
$3.8M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
No
88%
Yes
12%
$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket
Politics
Showing 145–165 of 165