Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Kash Patel out by...?

December 31 19% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

StandX FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$1B 2% Yes No
$800M 1% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel ground operation in Iran confirmed by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Top Spotify Artist 2026

Bad Bunny 86% Yes No
Taylor Swift 8% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

How many different countries will the US conduct military action against in 2026?

8 57% Yes No
9 33% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which cities will Russia enter by December 31?

Dopropillia 100% Yes No
Druzkhivka 30% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Michigan Senate Election Winner

Abdul El-Sayed (D) 70% Yes No
Mike Rogers (R) 30% Yes No
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Opensea launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2026 7% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

MLB: AL Rookie of the Year

Kevin McGonigle 94% Yes No
Parker Messick 2% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by...?

December 31 36% Yes No
November 30 24% Yes No

+24 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket

Kraken IPO by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 57% Yes No
June 30, 2027 26% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Other 50% Yes No
Flávio Bolsonaro <4% 40% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Alaska Governor Election Winner

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins 77% Yes No
Bernadette Wilson 22% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

WNBA: 2026 Champion

Golden State Valkyries 52% Yes No
Atlanta Dream 48% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Russia x Ukraine peace talks by...?

December 31 38% Yes No
November 30 24% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?

Jared Kushner 100% Yes No
Steve Witkoff 100% Yes No

+21 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

How high will inflation get in 2026?

Above 3% 100% Yes No
Above 4% 100% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

How many 7.0 or above earthquakes in 2026?

14–16 62% Yes No
11–13 20% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Bitcoin above ___ on October 16?

72,000 100% Yes No
74,000 100% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$1.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Next James Bond actor?

Jack Lowden 33% Yes No
No Bond chosen 27% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Who will leave Trump Administration before 2027?

Pam Bondi 100% Yes No
Dan Bongino 100% Yes No

+19 more outcomes

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will any country leave NATO by...?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Japan military clash before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$1.4M Vol.
Polymarket World