Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Minnesota Governor Election Winner

Amy Klobuchar (D) 96% Yes No
Lisa Demuth (R) 5% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Novyi Donbas by...?

October 31 10% Yes No
August 31 0% Yes No
$96K Vol.
Polymarket

Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner

Mark Sutcliffe 90% Yes No
Jeff Leiper 5% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$96K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-23 House Election Winner

Brandon Herrera (R) 70% Yes No
Katy Padilla Stout (D) 32% Yes No
$95K Vol.
Polymarket

Bank of Russia decision in October?

No Change 90% Yes No
Decrease 8% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$95K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No
$95K Vol.
Polymarket

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by...?

October 31, 2026 2% Yes No
October 15, 2026 0% Yes No
$94K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

>4 55% Yes No
>6 38% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Guerrero Governor Election Winner

Beatriz Mojica Morga 88% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+53 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket

South Africa Annual Inflation 2026

>5.0% 85% Yes No
4.7-5.0% 7% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$94K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Matt Damon 94% Yes No
John Malkovich 88% Yes No

+17 more outcomes

$93K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026?

No 98%
Yes 2%
$93K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

MT-01 House Election Winner

Aaron Flint (R) 68% Yes No
Sam Forstag (D) 34% Yes No
$93K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$92K Vol.
Polymarket Economy

CA-06 House Election Winner

Democratic Party 96% Yes No
Republican Party 1% Yes No
$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Will ByteDance's valuation hit __ by December 31?

↓$550B 100% Yes No
↑$650B 24% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO?

Morgan Stanley 82% Yes No
Goldman Sachs 17% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$90K Vol.
Polymarket

Ballon d'Or Top 10 Finish 2026

Harry Kane 100% Yes No
Lamine Yamal 100% Yes No

+28 more outcomes

$89K Vol.
Polymarket

Pakistan military action against Yemen by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$88K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Press Secretary?

Other 50% Yes No
Candidate U 50% Yes No

+97 more outcomes

$88K Vol.
Polymarket

MD-01 House Election Winner

Andy Harris (R) 87% Yes No
Dan Schwartz (D) 12% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$88K Vol.
Polymarket

NY-23 House Election Winner

Nick Langworthy (R) 97% Yes No
Aaron Gies (D) 2% Yes No
$88K Vol.
Polymarket