Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Largest Company end of June? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 MLB: 2026 American League Champion SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel closes its airspace by...? Iran leader end of 2026? 2026 NBA Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SpaceX IPO by ___ ? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by...? Will Base launch a token by ___ ? Largest Company end of June? Ballon d'Or Winner 2026 MLB: 2026 American League Champion SpaceX IPO Closing Market Cap (Lowest Strikes) US x Iran permanent peace deal by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 Israel closes its airspace by...? Iran leader end of 2026? 2026 NBA Champion Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SpaceX IPO by ___ ? Venezuela leader end of 2026? Bitcoin all time high by ___? MLS Cup Winner 2026 Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? Trump announces US blockade of Hormuz lifted by...? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Open Crypto Polymarket

How many coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Top outcomes

>4 80%
>8 58%
>6 37%
>10 33%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if, at 11:59 PM ET on December 31, 2026, the number of coins launched in 2026 that appear in the top 100 by market capitalization on CoinGecko is greater than the number specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is CoinGecko’s Top 100 market cap rankings (https://www.coingecko.com/). Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.

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$93K Vol. Closes Jan 1, 2027

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$92.6k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$93K Vol.

>4

80% market probability

80%

Explain your Yes on >4 Explain your No on >4 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>8

58% market probability

58%

Explain your Yes on >8 Explain your No on >8 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>6

37% market probability

37%

Explain your Yes on >6 Explain your No on >6 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>10

33% market probability

33%

Explain your Yes on >10 Explain your No on >10 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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>12

13% market probability

13%

Explain your Yes on >12 Explain your No on >12 (optional)

0 / 2,000

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