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MLS Cup Winner 2026 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Iran leader end of 2026? LALIGA: 2027 Champion Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by...? F1 Constructors' Champion Will US withdraw from NATO by...? What price will Ethereum hit in 2026? Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? MLB World Series Champion 2026 NFL Champion 2027 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record? Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 Fed rate cut by...? Next French Presidential Election Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? Putin out as President of Russia by...? Next Prime Minister of Romania? New "Stranger Things" episode released by...?
Open Pop Culture Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

Top outcomes

Matt Damon 94%
John Malkovich 92%
Andrew Scott 87%
Tom Cruise 60%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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$91K Vol. Closes Mar 15, 2027

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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.

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$91.3k Vol.

All outcomes

Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.

$91K Vol.

Matt Damon

94% market probability

94%

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0 / 2,000

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John Malkovich

92% market probability

92%

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0 / 2,000

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Andrew Scott

87% market probability

87%

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0 / 2,000

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Tom Cruise

60% market probability

60%

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0 / 2,000

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Ryan Gosling

44% market probability

44%

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0 / 2,000

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Robert Pattinson

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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John Turturro

42% market probability

42%

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0 / 2,000

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Anthony Ippolito

34% market probability

34%

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0 / 2,000

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Timothée Chalamet

22% market probability

22%

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0 / 2,000

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Pedro Pascal

18% market probability

18%

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0 / 2,000

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Sebastian Stan

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Jaafar Jackson

14% market probability

14%

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0 / 2,000

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Adam Driver

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Javier Bardem

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Sam Rockwell

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Brad Pitt

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Josh O'Connor

5% market probability

5%

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0 / 2,000

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Jeremy Strong

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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Robert Aramayo

3% market probability

3%

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0 / 2,000

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