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Ottawa Mayoral Election Winner
Top outcomes
Mark Sutcliffe
90%
Alex Lawson
5%
Jeff Leiper
4%
Neil Saravanamuttoo
1%
The 2026 Ottawa mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Ottawa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Ottawa.
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$96K Vol.
Closes Oct 27, 2026
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$95.6k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$96K Vol.
Mark Sutcliffe
90% market probability
90%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 90%
+10 / −90
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 9%
+91 / −9
Alex Lawson
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Alex Lawson
Explain your No on Alex Lawson
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Jeff Leiper
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Jeff Leiper
Explain your No on Jeff Leiper
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Neil Saravanamuttoo
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Neil Saravanamuttoo
Explain your No on Neil Saravanamuttoo
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Catherine McKenney
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Catherine McKenney
Explain your No on Catherine McKenney
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Public forecast history
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