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Guerrero Governor Election Winner
Top outcomes
Beatriz Mojica Morga
88%
Other
50%
Candidate A
50%
Candidate B
50%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
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$92K Vol.
Closes Jun 7, 2027
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Top outcomes by win probability — price history from Polymarket, updates when you refresh.
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$92.2k Vol.
All outcomes
Pick Yes or No on any outcome, then explain your pick below. Reputation-only — no money or trading.
$92K Vol.
Beatriz Mojica Morga
88% market probability
88%
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
Yes 88%
+12 / −88
$refs['reasoning-0']?.focus())"
>
No 12%
+88 / −12
Other
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-1']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Other
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate A
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-2']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate A
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate B
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-3']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate C
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-4']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate C
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate D
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-5']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate E
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-6']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate E
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate F
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-7']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate F
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate G
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-8']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate G
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate H
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-9']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate I
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-10']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate J
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-11']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate K
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-12']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate L
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-13']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate L
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate M
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-14']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate M
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate N
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-15']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate N
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate O
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-16']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate O
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate P
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-17']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate P
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Q
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-18']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Q
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate R
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-19']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate R
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate S
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-20']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate S
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate T
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-21']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate T
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate U
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-22']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate U
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate V
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-23']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate V
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate W
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-24']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate W
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate X
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-25']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate X
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Y
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-26']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Y
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Candidate Z
50% market probability
50%
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
Yes 50%
+50 / −50
$refs['reasoning-27']?.focus())"
>
No 50%
+50 / −50
Explain your Yes on Candidate Z
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Esthela Damián Peralta
5% market probability
5%
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
Yes 5%
+95 / −5
$refs['reasoning-28']?.focus())"
>
No 95%
+5 / −95
Explain your Yes on Esthela Damián Peralta
Explain your No on Esthela Damián Peralta
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Manuel Añorve Baños
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-29']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Manuel Añorve Baños
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
4% market probability
4%
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
Yes 4%
+96 / −4
$refs['reasoning-30']?.focus())"
>
No 96%
+4 / −96
Explain your Yes on Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
Explain your No on Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Javier Saldaña Almazán
3% market probability
3%
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
Yes 3%
+97 / −3
$refs['reasoning-31']?.focus())"
>
No 97%
+3 / −97
Explain your Yes on Javier Saldaña Almazán
Explain your No on Javier Saldaña Almazán
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-32']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
Explain your No on Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-33']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
Explain your No on Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rubén Cayetano García
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-34']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Rubén Cayetano García
Explain your No on Rubén Cayetano García
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Guadalupe Eguiluz
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-35']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Guadalupe Eguiluz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Carlos Reyes Torres
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-36']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Carlos Reyes Torres
Explain your No on Carlos Reyes Torres
(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Héctor Astudillo Flores
2% market probability
2%
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
Yes 2%
+98 / −2
$refs['reasoning-37']?.focus())"
>
No 98%
+2 / −98
Explain your Yes on Héctor Astudillo Flores
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Mario Moreno Arcos
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-38']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Mario Moreno Arcos
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Karen Castrejón Trujillo
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-39']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Karen Castrejón Trujillo
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
1% market probability
1%
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
Yes 1%
+99 / −1
$refs['reasoning-40']?.focus())"
>
No 99%
+1 / −99
Explain your Yes on Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alberto López Rosas
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-41']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alberto López Rosas
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Félix Salgado Macedonio
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-42']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Félix Salgado Macedonio
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Rogelio Ortega Martínez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-43']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Rogelio Ortega Martínez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-44']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Erika Lorena Lührs
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-45']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Erika Lorena Lührs
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Yesenia Galarza Castro
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-46']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Yesenia Galarza Castro
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-47']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Julián López Galeana
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-48']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Julián López Galeana
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Eloy Salmerón Díaz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-49']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Eloy Salmerón Díaz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Alejandro Bravo Abarca
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-50']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Alejandro Bravo Abarca
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Genaro Vázquez Flores
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-51']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Genaro Vázquez Flores
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Iván Hernández Díaz
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-52']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Iván Hernández Díaz
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Abelina López Rodríguez
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-53']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
Explain your Yes on Abelina López Rodríguez
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
0% market probability
0%
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
Yes 0%
+100 / −0
$refs['reasoning-54']?.focus())"
>
No 100%
+0 / −100
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(optional)
0 / 2,000
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