Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$15.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$14.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran ceasefire continues through...?

October 5 100% Yes No
October 7 100% Yes No

+18 more outcomes

$14.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Trump out as President before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$12.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

May 31 0% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$12.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$11.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$10.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Bitcoin all time high by ___?

December 31, 2026 4% Yes No
June 30, 2026 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$10.5M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Iran full airspace closure by...?

December 31 32% Yes No
October 31 7% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$10.2M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will MetaMask launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$8.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by...?

December 31, 2027 68% Yes No
November 30, 2027 64% Yes No

+16 more outcomes

$8.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Largest Company end of December 2026?

NVIDIA 70% Yes No
Apple 27% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket Economy

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

December 31, 2027 36% Yes No
June 30, 2027 26% Yes No

+8 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

LALIGA: 2027 Champion

Barcelona 80% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+22 more outcomes

$8.5M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Measles cases in U.S. in 2026?

↑1k 100% Yes No
↑2k 100% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$8.1M Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

Will Base launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2027 42% Yes No
June 30, 2027 20% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$8.0M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

NBA: 2026-27 Rookie of the Year

Other 50% Yes No
Player A 50% Yes No

+79 more outcomes

$8.0M Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

December 31 2% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

What price will Bitcoin hit in October?

↑ 82,500 100% Yes No
↑ 85,000 100% Yes No

+20 more outcomes

$7.7M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

How many different countries will Israel strike in 2026?

4 62% Yes No
5 16% Yes No

+14 more outcomes

$7.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$7.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

4.25% 67% Yes No
≥ 4.5% 13% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$7.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?

$50M 98% Yes No
$100M 95% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$7.0M Vol.
Polymarket Crypto