Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Consensys IPO closing market cap above ___ ?

$1B 8% Yes No
$3B 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$334K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$333K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

European military action against Iran by...?

December 31 3% Yes No
October 31 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$332K Vol.
Polymarket

OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$331K Vol.
Polymarket

How much will Coinbase token sales raise in 2026?

>$200M 42% Yes No
>$400M 33% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$331K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

December 31 30% Yes No
October 31 8% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$331K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Nansen launch a token by ___?

December 31, 2027 26% Yes No
December 31, 2026 6% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$331K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Will Russia capture Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by...?

March 31, 2027 15% Yes No
December 31 9% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$330K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Ostium launch a token by ___ ?

December 31, 2026 6% Yes No
December 31, 2025 0% Yes No
$330K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

Other 50% Yes No
Company A 50% Yes No

+33 more outcomes

$329K Vol.
Polymarket

Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?

No 85%
Yes 15%
$328K Vol.
Polymarket

Saudi airspace closed by...?

December 31 16% Yes No
October 31 4% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$326K Vol.
Polymarket

NBA: Stephen Curry to leave Warriors?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$324K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

Ciryl Gane 100% Yes No
Sean Strickland 100% Yes No

+26 more outcomes

$324K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

Who will be UFC Featherweight champion at the end of 2026?

Movsar Evloev 49% Yes No
Alexander Volkanovski 48% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$324K Vol.
Polymarket Sports

GPT Astra 6.1+ released by...?

December 31 92% Yes No
October 31 30% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$323K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?

December 31 5% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$318K Vol.
Polymarket

Which Senators will vote for the Clarity Act?

Thom Tillis 10% Yes No
Mike Lee 9% Yes No

+13 more outcomes

$316K Vol.
Polymarket Crypto

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

No 83%
Yes 17%
$315K Vol.
Polymarket Science & Tech

US imports Russian diesel by...?

November 30 30% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No
$315K Vol.
Polymarket

Florida Governor Election Winner

Byron Donalds (R) 80% Yes No
David Jolly (D) 20% Yes No
$314K Vol.
Polymarket

When will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released?

No release by November 1 94% Yes No
October 26–November 1 4% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$311K Vol.
Polymarket

Andrew Tate released from custody by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
July 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$311K Vol.
Polymarket

2026 Taiwanese Local Elections: Party Winner

Kuomintang (KMT) 66% Yes No
Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) 30% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$311K Vol.
Polymarket