Human moon landing in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any human-crewed mission lands on the moon between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A touchdown of the spacecraft with humans aboard will be sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of technical complications. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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$2.0M Vol. Closes Dec 31, 2026

Live odds

No 97%

Yes 3%

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Human moon landing in 2026?

170 days left

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Market closes Dec 31, 2026

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Reputation at stake based on current Polymarket odds.

Yes Market 3% +97 if correct · −3 if wrong No Market 97% +3 if correct · −97 if wrong

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Torrentequimico 💎 @papezteguia@gmail.com · 1 month, 1 week ago Verified record

Forecast No · Polymarket 97% · +3/−97

No da el tiempo

Break-even if exited now

Pending

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