Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner US military action against Cuba by...? Colombia Presidential Election Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 World Cup: Golden Boot Winner US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Largest Company end of June? Iran leader end of 2026?
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? 2026 Men’s Wimbledon Winner US military action against Cuba by...? Colombia Presidential Election Where will Trump and Putin meet next? Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Will US withdraw from NATO by...? US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...? Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026 World Cup: Golden Boot Winner US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? Opensea FDV above ___ one day after launch? Netanyahu out by...? Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...? Xi Jinping out before 2027? Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Largest Company end of June? Iran leader end of 2026?

Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Source All Polymarket
Ending soon Next 24h Next 48h Next 72h Next week
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Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?

June 30 3% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$52.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

December 31 12% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$20.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by...?

June 30 100% Yes No
June 7 100% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$16.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

No 92%
Yes 8%
$10.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$6.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

June 30 4% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

US military action against Cuba by...?

December 31 40% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$6.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by...?

June 30 6% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$4.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by...?

June 30 10% Yes No
June 15 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

NATO x Russia military clash by...?

December 31 20% Yes No
June 30 2% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by...?

July 31 12% Yes No
June 30 5% Yes No

+2 more outcomes

$2.3M Vol.
Polymarket World

Internet Access restored in Iran by...?

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket

Israel and Syria normalize relations by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31, 2026 14% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel military action against Yemen by...?

June 30 26% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.1M Vol.
Polymarket World

Russian strike on Poland by...?

June 30, 2026 2% Yes No
December 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.0M Vol.
Polymarket World

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$1.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mojtaba Khamenei public appearance by...?

June 30 12% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Mohammed bin Salman out as leader of Saudi Arabia by...?

September 30 25% Yes No
December 31 6% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$1.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?

No 100%
Yes 0%
$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which countries will send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31?

India 0% Yes No
Canada 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$1.6M Vol.
Polymarket World