Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

No 99%
Yes 1%
$3.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

US strike on Mexico by...?

December 31 10% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by...?

December 31, 2026 10% Yes No
June 30, 2026 3% Yes No
$3.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

No 60%
Yes 40%
$3.3M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 84% Yes No
Robert Kenyon 14% Yes No

+5 more outcomes

$3.1M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Incheon Mayoral Election Winner

Park Chan-dae 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+23 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

2026 South Korean Local Elections: Party Winner

Democratic Party of Korea (DP) 100% Yes No
Other 0% Yes No

+10 more outcomes

$3.0M Vol.
Polymarket

Will Hezbollah disarm by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 16% Yes No
April 30 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.9M Vol.
Polymarket World

Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 10% Yes No
January 31 0% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$2.8M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?

No 82%
Yes 18%
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket World

Which party will win the Senate in 2026?

Republican Party 56% Yes No
Democratic Party 44% Yes No
$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Berlin State Election Winner

CDU 28% Yes No
AfD 24% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.7M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 12% Yes No
January 9 0% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Republican Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?

Forecasts closed
≤47 27% Yes No
51 18% Yes No

+9 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by...?

December 31, 2026 8% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?

No meeting before 2027 84% Yes No
Turkey 6% Yes No

+12 more outcomes

$2.6M Vol.
Polymarket World

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Will Tim Walz resign by...?

Before 2027 8% Yes No
June 30 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Will Russia capture Lyman by...?

Forecasts closed
June 30 9% Yes No
May 31 0% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Another US strike on Venezuela by...?

Forecasts closed
December 31 20% Yes No
March 31 0% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$2.5M Vol.
Polymarket World

Ukraine election held by...?

December 31, 2026 11% Yes No
June 30, 2026 1% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

No 90%
Yes 10%
$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket World

Virginia Republican Senate Primary Winner

Bert Mizusawa 77% Yes No
Kim Farington 17% Yes No

+7 more outcomes

$2.4M Vol.
Polymarket Politics