Markets

All markets

Forecast on real-world events — odds from Polymarket, no betting.

NY-05 House Election Winner

Gregory Meeks (D) 98% Yes No
George Marsh (R) 1% Yes No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

New Zealand legislative election winner?

Labour Party 55% Yes No
National Party 44% Yes No

+4 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Romania PM appointed by…?

December 31 95% Yes No
October 31 86% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$64K Vol.
Polymarket

MN-02 House Election Winner

Matt Little (D) 94% Yes No
Eric Pratt (R) 5% Yes No
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?

No 94%
Yes 6%
$64K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-26 House Election Winner

Brandon Gill (R) 96% Yes No
Steven Shook (D) 3% Yes No
$63K Vol.
Polymarket

MO-05 House Election Margin of Victory

Democrat 3%+ 96% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+11 more outcomes

$63K Vol.
Polymarket

Will Seattle Seahawks visit the White House in 2026?

No 96%
Yes 4%
$62K Vol.
Polymarket Pop Culture

WA-05 House Election Winner

Michael Baumgartner (R) 84% Yes No
Carmela Conroy (D) 16% Yes No
$62K Vol.
Polymarket

Alaska Senate and Governor Combo

Dems sweep 74% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+3 more outcomes

$62K Vol.
Polymarket

FL-08 House Election Winner

Mike Haridopolos (R) 95% Yes No
Jennifer Jenkins (D) 5% Yes No
$61K Vol.
Polymarket

TX-01 House Election Winner

Nathaniel Moran (R) 97% Yes No
Yolanda Prince (D) 2% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

NC-06 House Election Winner

Addison McDowell (R) 90% Yes No
Cyril Jefferson (D) 10% Yes No
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?

No 72%
Yes 28%
$60K Vol.
Polymarket

Next Regional Board Chair of Halland?

Mikaela Waltersson 87% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+30 more outcomes

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

KY-06 House Election Winner

Ralph Alvarado (R) 66% Yes No
Zach Dembo (D) 34% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

OH-03 House Election Winner

Joyce Beatty (D) 97% Yes No
Cleophus Dulaney (R) 2% Yes No
$59K Vol.
Polymarket

Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by...?

December 31 8% Yes No
October 31 3% Yes No

+1 more outcome

$59K Vol.
Polymarket

FCC revokes a major network broadcast license by December 31, 2026?

No 97%
Yes 3%
$58K Vol.
Polymarket

MI-03 House Election Winner

Hillary Scholten (D) 95% Yes No
Terri DeBoer (R) 4% Yes No
$58K Vol.
Polymarket

NC-08 House Election Winner

Mark Harris (R) 95% Yes No
Colby Watson (D) 4% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket

CA-08 House Election Winner

John Garamendi (D) 96% Yes No
Rudy Recile (R) 4% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Pennsylvania Governor Election Winner

Josh Shapiro (D) 98% Yes No
Stacy Garrity (R) 2% Yes No
$57K Vol.
Polymarket

Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pará

Lula 78% Yes No
Other 50% Yes No

+6 more outcomes

$56K Vol.
Polymarket